Hillary Clinton has a 80.0% chance of winning the 2016 presidential election.
Electoral Votes from Swing States: 112
270 Votes Needed to Win
Democrats, Don’t be too cocky!
Michael Dukakis is here to remind you why to stop overreacting to the recent election polls. Flying high out of the 1988 Democratic National Convention, the forecast looked sunny for the then-Massachusetts governor. A Gallup general election poll released July 26, 1988 gave Dukakis a 17-point lead over George H.W. Bush, the Republican nominee.
“When I was allegedly 15 points ahead, I never was really. It was because I had come off a pretty impressive primary victory,” the 82-year-old former governor said, adding, “You’re obviously going to get a bit of a bounce if you win, and I’m sure [Trump]’s getting that kind of a bounce, since he’s won the thing.”