Coastcontact's Postscript Weblog

March 31, 2009

Military Deployment

Filed under: Foreign Affairs, Uncategorized — coastcontact @ 9:34 am

The United States has not had a military draft (conscription) since the Vietnam War.  The last conscription was in 1973.  Perhaps it is our patriotism (or maybe because there are recurring recessions) that military continues to maintain its forces through volunteer enlistments.  At present, the scale of US troops abroad is 247,000 people.   Of those there are 42,000 in Europe, 25,000 in So. Korea, and 47,000 in Japan. According to Wikipedia the U.S. military is composed of almost three million personnel, of which approximately half are reserve personnel.  Of course all of this information is based upon the data on the internet.

 

There is little discussion in the press about the size of military force we need to protect our nation.   There does not appear to be any discussion about the need to maintain a miltary force in any of those places listed above.  I support a strong military to protect our nation.  My questions are                                                            

 

1.Why do we need a substantial miltary force in any country that is friendly to us?

 

2.How big should our military be to protect our nation?

March 29, 2009

The President is not a Socialist

Filed under: Business — coastcontact @ 8:06 pm

For those who see President Barack Obama as a socialist, today’s words and actions refute that view.  The White House request for General Motors CEO Rick Wagoner’s resignation is an indicator that there is limited patience for non-performing companies.  This morning on Face the Nation the president said “They’re not quite there yet. … And that’s gonna mean a set of sacrifices from all parties involved, management, labor, shareholders, creditors, suppliers, dealers. Everybody’s gonna have to come to the table and say it’s important for us to take serious restructuring steps now in order to preserve a brighter future down the road.”

The deadlines being given to GM and Chrysler are further indicators supporting the view that socialized business is not on the president’s agenda.  My column Make The U.S. Auto Industry Competitive was on target.  Perhaps the banking and finance industry ought to be looking over its shoulder.  Some of those bailed out financial companies could be the next to feel the impact of White House pain.  I believe that “too big to fail” is too big to exist.  I hope the president agrees.

March 24, 2009

The Road to Peace in the Middle East

Filed under: Foreign Affairs, Israel, Politics — coastcontact @ 9:39 pm

The road to peace between the United States and Muslim countries is through Jerusalem.  The United States has been Israel’s staunchest ally.  Israel needs American support to survive.  Without that support Israel would have been destroyed by its neighbors decades ago.  It is time for Israel to help the United States win the war against terrorism.  That goal can be achieved by an Israeli Palestinian peace accord.  Once that accord has become reality the Arab terrorists will lack a major battle cry that is now used to recruit terrorists.  That peace accord will enable Israel to focus its energies on other things besides the defense of its borders.  That accord will afford the opportunity for the United States to show Muslim nations that America does care about their values and beliefs.

 

Benjamin Netanyahu, leader of the Likud party in Israel, is now the man likely to become Israel’s next prime minister.  He has the reputation of a “conservative” leader and is known to oppose a treaty with Palestinians that creates a two nation solution.  It has also been written that he wants to draw out (or drag out) any negotiations as a delaying tactic to signing any kind of peace accord with the Palestinians.  I can understand why he has taken this position.  There are doubts among Jews everywhere about the reliability of any treaty.

 

Palestinians are divided on a course of action towards Israel.  There is no single unifying group or committee that speaks for most of them. The three leading groups that would like to lead all Palestinians are Hamas, Hezbollah, and Fatah.  Under current conditions George Mitchell, the American diplomat looking for a solution, will be hard put to bring real negotiations to a table before all Palestinian groups agree on their objectives.

 

Mr. Netanyahu couldn’t be happier with the current in-fighting among Palestinians.  If his plan is to delay negotiations, the Palestinians have aided him in that objective.

 

Both Jews and Arabs are very sensitive to the treatment they receive by the American government.  That appears to be the major stumbling block that has deterred every U.S. administration from taking the needed actions that will bring peace to the area.  At this time the Obama administration does not appear to be any more willing to force its vision on the parties than any previous administration.  Sending George Mitchell to the Middle East as an American representative only showed that President Obama and Secretary of State Clinton understand that the situation is both complex and delicate.

 

The United States needs to look out for its interests first.  To accomplish the U.S. objectives the American government should insist that all parties involved participate in negotiations that will lead to permanent peace and stability.  That objective can be accomplished by using a “carrot and stick” approach.  Time lines need to be established to end this open ended confrontation.  The carrot is help to those to those nations and groups who participate.  The stick is isolation and containment for those refusing to participate.  Egypt apparently agrees with this approach as that country blocked entry and movement into Gaza during the recent Israeli attacks.  Similarly there was a noticeable lack of support for Hamas in Gaza during those Israeli attacks.  Unfortunately Israel killed and harmed too many innocent civilians.  The isolation needs to be sustained indefinitely if Hamas refuses to participate in peace negotiations.  Israel should be treated equally if it refuses to negotiate.         

 

American Jews and Arabs may be unhappy with the Obama administration but the time has come to end the stalemate.

March 22, 2009

Jews Have Very Little Influence

Filed under: Foreign Affairs, Israel, Politics — coastcontact @ 10:11 pm

Charles Freeman, a veteran diplomat slated to become the top U.S. intelligence analyst, withdrew from consideration on Tuesday, March 10. He released a statement denouncing the “Israel Lobby” for “character assassination.  He appeared on Fareed Zakaria’s GPS on March 15 and issued the same charges.  Mr. Freeman charged “they have a hammer lock on public policy.”  He blamed right wing Jews in America and Israel for his withdrawl from the nomination.

 

Hugh Hewitt, a conservative radio talk show host, had a group of guests on his program to discuss the Charles Freeman withdrawl.  There were both defenders and opposers to Freeman on the show.  Apparently Mr. Freeman is a strong supporter of Arabs and Saudi Arabia.  He also was a strong supporter of China’s crackdown in Tiananmen Square (although he denies the accusation).

 

From Commentary Magazine:

Congressman Frank Wolf is afforded space in the opinion pages of the Washington Post — where one needs to go for reported facts — to explain why he was instrumental in provoking the withdrawal of Chas Freeman. It wasn’t the Jewish blogosphere or AIPAC, as the Post’s Walter Pincus seemed to believe, (without ever actually investigating). And it wasn’t the “Israel-centric fanatics” the category in which  Glenn Greenwald places Chief of Staff in Rahm Emanuel.

 

Wolf explains:

For almost four years, Freeman served on the advisory board of the China National Offshore Oil Corp. (CNOOC), receiving $10,000 a year for his service. The communist government of China, along with other state-owned companies, are majority stakeholders in CNOOC. Yet Freeman claims that he never received money from a foreign government. The connection may not be direct, but it is certainly there. The same can be said of the paycheck he received from the Middle East Policy Council, which received ample funding from the kingdom of Saudi Arabia — whose regime is responsible for funding madrassas around the globe that have given rise to Islamic fundamentalists such as Mohammad Omar, leader of the Taliban.

 

Fareed Zakaria asked his viewers their opinion at the end of the broadcast.  I waited for the results of that question to learn what most responding viewers thought.  I am disappointed to learn that a majority do think that there is a pro-Israel lobby in Washington that does have the super power to influence U.S. policy related to the Middle East.

 

There are 5 million Jews in the United States. That number equals 1.66% of the whole population.  Jews only have influence because they are mostly well educated and do contribute to political parties.  To believe that Jews can impact American policy is not reasonable given their small population.  After all who cares what they want?  They are too small a group to influence the outcome of anything.  I will attest they are mostly smart.  Some are brilliant.  Still, they are just too small a group to influence the U.S. policy.  Right wing Jews in America would be a minority within a minority.  American Jews are notoriously supporters of liberal causes.

The World’s Dictators

Filed under: Foreign Affairs, Politics, Social Behavior — coastcontact @ 7:13 pm

Parade magazine published its list of the ten worst dictators in today’s issue and followed up with another ten on its web site.  Dictators by definition would have to be bad leaders simply because they have absolute power.  Number 1 in Parade’s opinion is Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe.  Number 2 in Parade’s opinion is Omar Al-Bashir of Sudan.  I would have given Omar Al-Bashir a first place in this rogues gallery.

 

Would Saddam Hussein of Iraq have made this list? No doubt.  He was certainly on the same level as the current first and second place holders.  Still Omar would get my vote as first place holder. This month, the International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for Omar Al-Bashir on charges of war crimes and crimes against humanity for his contributions to the tragedy in Darfur. 

 

What about those dictators who honour numbers one and two?  The Toronto Star reports thatQatar’s emir, Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani, is prepared to welcome Sudan President Omar al-Bashir as an honoured guest on March 29-30.  The Sheikh ought to be honored with a place on the list of Worst Dictators.”

One other thought.  If the United States’ justification for invading Iraq was to remove one of the world’s worst dictators, why are we not invading Zimbabwe and Sudan?  Could the answer be that there is no oil in either of those countries?

March 18, 2009

AIG – Arrogance Incompetence Greed

Filed under: Business, Politics — coastcontact @ 9:41 pm

In reference to lawmakers’ request for a list of AIG’s counterparties, U.S. Rep. Carolyn Maloney, D-New York, told CNNMoney it was critical to determine whether AIG’s collapse would have resulted in a market catastrophe.  A wonderful idea that has yet to see any investigation.  AIG has received $182 billion in federal bailout money.  The bonuses totaled $165 million.  That means bonuses totaled .09% of the bail out money.  

 

Where is the anger over the total bail out?  Why hasn’t Rep. Carolyn Maloney’s commentary seen follow up with a real investigation?  Perhaps the real question should be “when will the members of Congress do something to protect our taxes and our nation?”

 

Based upon the reports I have read there seems to be a long list of senators, representatives, Treasury department officials, and others from both parties that have been involved in the bail out of AIG , banks and Wall Street investment businesses.  My thoughts about socialism-for-the-rich-free-markets-for-the-poor are more on point now than they were when I wrote them on July 29, 2008.

 

This AP report says it all:

WASHINGTON – Under intense pressure from the Obama administration and Congress, the head of bailed-out insurance giant AIG declared Wednesday that some of the firm’s executives have begun returning all or part of bonuses totaling $165 million.

Edward Liddy offered no details, and lawmakers were in no mood to wait. He was still fielding their questions when House Democratic leaders announced plans for a vote Thursday on legislation to tax away 90 percent of the extra pay for executives at AIG and many other bailed-out firms.

Liddy, brought in last year to oversee a company that has received $182 billion in federal bailout money, said he, too, was angry about the bonuses. But he did not respond directly when advised in pungent terms to pay to the Treasury all the money handed out last weekend in “retention payments.”

“Eat it now. Take it out of your profits down the road. It’s a lot sweeter now than it’s gonna be later,” said Rep. Gary Ackerman, D-N.Y.

Liddy slid into the witness chair at a congressional hearing as President Barack Obama sought anew to quell a furor that has bedeviled his administration since word of the bonuses surfaced over the weekend.

Obama, who took office just under two months ago, told reporters his administration was not responsible for a lack of federal supervision of AIG that preceded the company’s demise, nor for the decision made last year to pay what he called “outrageous bonuses.”

Still, he said, “The buck stops with me.” He said that “my goal is to make sure that we never put ourselves in this kind of position again,” and he disclosed the administration was consulting with Congress on the possibility of creating a new agency to govern the meltdown of large financial institutions such as AIG.

He also gave a strong vote of confidence to Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, who has been the target of growing Republican criticism.

Later, at a town hall meeting in Costa Mesa, Calif., Obama said that while his administration was addressing the AIG bonuses specifically, he said he wanted to “make sure we don?t find ourselves in this situation again, where taxpayers are on the hook for losses in bad times and all the wealth generated in good times goes to those at the very top.”

Obama spoke as congressional Democrats worked on legislation designed to recoup most or all of the $165 million by exposing it to new taxes.

Rep. Charles Rangel, D-N.Y., chairman of the tax-writing House Ways and Means Committee, said the new 90 percent tax would apply to bonus money paid to employees earning more than $250,000 at firms that have received more than $5 billion in federal bailout funds. Mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are covered under the proposal.

Liddy said that on Tuesday, he had “asked those who have received retention payments in excess of $100,000 or more to return at least half of those payments.” Some have “already stepped forward and returned 100 percent,” he added.

Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, D-Md., said the House bill would be voted on under rules requiring a two-thirds majority for passage. Democrats are in comfortable control of the House but do not control two-thirds of the seats, meaning the outcome of the vote would probably be determined by tax-averse Republicans.

Republicans raised pointed questions about the extent of Geithner’s advance knowledge of the bonuses, and stressed they had been locked out of discussions earlier this year when Democrats decided to jettison a provision from legislation that could have revoked the payments.

“The fact is that the bill the president signed, which protected the AIG bonuses and others, was written behind closed doors by Democratic leaders of the House and Senate. There was no transparency,” said Sen. Charles Grassley, R-Iowa, the senior Republican on the Senate Finance Committee.

On Wednesday, Sen. Christopher Dodd, D-Conn., the chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, acknowledged that his staff agreed to dilute an executive compensation provision that would have applied retroactively to recipients of federal aid. Dodd told CNN the request came from officials at the Treasury Department whom he did not identify.

While the House and Senate reconciled their stimulus bills last month, the Treasury Department expressed concern with a Senate restriction on bonuses, noting that if it applied to existing compensation contracts it could face a legal challenge.

“The alternative was losing, in my view, the entire section on executive excessive compensation,” Dodd told CNN. “Given a choice – this is not an uncommon occurrence here – I agreed to a modification in the legislation, reluctantly.”

The legislation does include a provision that allows the Treasury Department to examine past compensation payments to determine whether they were “contrary to the public interest.” Geithner on Tuesday said he was using that provision to review AIG’s bonuses.

Liddy’s presence in a congressional hearing room was evidence of a bipartisan opposition to the bonuses, although his status as a $1-a-year CEO called out of retirement last year to try and untangle AIG’s financial mess made him a less-than-easy target for expressions of outrage.

“No one knows better than I that AIG has been the recipient of generous amounts of government financial aid,” he said. “We have been the beneficiary of the American people’s forbearance and patience,” he added, acknowledging the patience was wearing thin.

Asked by Rep. Barney Frank, D-Mass., whether he would turn over the names of individuals who received the bonuses, as well as the amounts, Liddy said he would do so only if assured the information not be made public.

When Frank said he might seek a subpoena, Liddy said he was concerned about the safety of the employees and their families, and read aloud from a death threat received by one of them.

Frank said he would be guided in part by security considerations, but Ackerman later noted that Andrew Cuomo, the New York attorney general, was already seeking the names with a subpoena.

Liddy said he had not yet complied, sidestepped several times when asked whether he would, and finally said “it would be our intent” to do so.

Cuomo swiftly issued a statement saying Liddy’s pledge was “simply too little, too late. … Rather than take half-measures, AIG should immediately turn over the list, which we have subpoenaed, of who got what and when.”

Separately, a New York state judge ordered Bank of America Corp. to disclose information about bonuses given to employees at Merrill Lynch & Co. just before the bank bought the brokerage company. Cuomo, who has been sparring with the bank over release of the information, said the decision “will now lift the shroud of secrecy surrounding the $3.6 billion in premature bonuses Merrill Lynch rushed out in early December.”

AIG should take heed and immediately turn over the list of bonus recipients we have subpoenaed,” he said. “The deadline for responding to our subpoena is tomorrow. “

AIG spokesman Mark Herr said he could not say how many executives had turned back the money. “Bear in mind, these bonuses were only just paid,” he said.

In Wilton, Conn., headquarters of AIG Financial Products Corp., police chief Edward Kulhawik said his department had not received any reports from the company of threats to employees but was in contact with the company and keeping “a special eye on that whole office complex.”

Liddy said the Federal Reserve knew long in advance of the bonus payments and acquiesced in them, noting that officials from the independent agency attend key company meetings. But he said the same was not true of Geithner, adding, “We do our work with the Federal Reserve.”

Liddy gave skeptical committee members what amounted to a tutorial in the practice of paying retention bonuses – he did not call them that – to executives.

He said the money was offered to executives in AIG’s financial products section, where risky investments finally became the entire company’s undoing. He said each executive was offered money to dispose of his “business book,” meaning the transactions he had been in charge of handling, and thus far, the company’s financial derivatives had been reduced from $2.7 trillion to $1.6 trillion.

He had decided it was worth paying the money to retain the services of executives who knew the business best, he said. And he had received legal advice that there were valid contracts requiring the payments.

“I know 165 million is a very large number. It’s a very large number. In the context of 1.6 trillion … we thought it was a good trade,” he said.

Liddy added there was still a risk of financial catastrophe if the remaining $1.6 trillion in financial instruments were not disposed of properly.

But Rep. Stephen Lynch, D-Mass., angrily told the witness the contract read like “the captain and the crew of the ship reserving the lifeboats.”

Liddy replied that he was not at the firm when the contracts were negotiated, and said, as he has before, that he would not have approved them.

Lynch said the terms had been put in place in December, after Liddy arrived at AIG.

But Liddy disputed that. “I take offense, Sir,” he said.

“Well you take it rightly. Offense was intended,” shot back Lynch.

March 17, 2009

It’s Class Warfare

Filed under: Business, Politics, Social Behavior — coastcontact @ 8:53 pm

After reading the president’s book, “The Audacity of Hope”, listening to his speeches and presentations I have come to the following conclusions. 

 

President Barack Obama really understands the meaning of class warfare.   His father deserted his mother.  She was left to struggle with the challenges of survival for Barack and herself in the challenging world of Hawaii.  It was his grandparents that helped with the financial challenges that he and his mother faced.  Given the large group of wealthy people living and visiting Hawaii, Barack Obama learned the meaning of working class family vs. wealthy.  Is it any wonder that he sees the need to increase the opportunities for those of us not born into a wealthy family?  Many of us can relate to his view that our society has given an unfair advantage to the rich at the expense of the rest of us.

 

His view of how our nation functions now and how it ought to function is obviously the driving force behind his push for a stimulus package, an enlarged national budget, a new health care system, and the many other programs he has proposed.  He is trying to remake much of the system that makes our society function.  This is a tall order.  He may not be successful.  He apparently believes that reaching his goals is more important than a second term in office.

 

Obviously many people will oppose his objectives.  It will not only be Republicans.  Many Democrats will aslo see his ideas as un-American and foreign to our history.  Many people reading this column will see his ideas of remaking America as socialist, communist, or some other form of government that they find offensive.  They are wrong.  His ideas are to make Amercan society more just for everyone.  That is the reason I call President Obama’s ideas class warfare. 

 

The warfare is evident in the today’s outrage over the multi million dollar bonuses given to AIG managers.  Merrill Lynch managers were given bonuses just prior to Bank of America’s acquisition of that firm.  It is obvious that will hear about other bonus packages given to other banking and Wall Street companies.  Those people receiving the bonuses and their friends see nothing wrong with the wealth and power they have.  They are in a financial class that most of us will never know.  That is the reason we are going to see more class warfare. Will the wealthy and powerful win or will it be the rest of us?  Stay tuned.

March 15, 2009

Incompetent Sunday Morning Talking Heads

Filed under: Politics, Uncategorized — coastcontact @ 9:45 am

Perhaps it’s the producers of the Sunday morning talk shows that are to blame for their uninformative guests and commentators.  May be I have watched too many of these shows.  No, neither of these explanations is correct.  A scowling Brent Scowcroft  (the United States National Security Advisor under Presidents Gerald Ford and George H. W. Bush) would regularly appear on Face the Nation and Meet the Press and avoid answering almost every moderator’s question.  That was the failure of both the moderators and the producers.

 

Today’s This Week was an excellent example of a truly poor performance.  Larry Summers (top economic adviser to President Obama) gave vague answers to every question put to him by George Stephanopoulos.  Given Mr. Summers’ understanding of economics and the workings of government he should have been able to provide an understandable explanation to every question asked.  Instead he fumbled through the entire 15 minute interview.  Dithering Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell was totally unprepared to answer any questions.  The outstanding question being where is the Republican budget plan was answered with the idea that they did not have a plan but that the GOP will offer numerous amendments to the administration’s budget plan.  The followup round table discussion provided little in the way of insights or ideas on where the government should go on any of the topics discussed.         

 

The Sunday morning shows need people like Tim Russert as moderators.  Tim Russert, … was a gifted and cunning Sunday-morning interrogator who, while never quite disturbing his genuine persona or television’s conventions, used his outsized position on “Meet the Press” to rattle many more politicians than any of his on-air rivals did.”  As David Remnick wrote in The New Yorker.  I like David Gregory but he just does not have the authority needed to conduct this program.

March 11, 2009

Union Supported “Card-Check” Is A Bad Idea

Filed under: Business — coastcontact @ 2:24 pm

According to the United States Department of Labor accounted 2008 union membership was 12.4 percent of employed wage and salary workers.  That is an increase from 12.1 percent a year earlier.  Total union membership was 16.1 million people.  In 1961 union membership totaled 30 million people.  Clearly union membership does not have the impact on America that it had in the mid 20th century.

 

Employees now vote by secret ballot election when deciding whether they want union representation in their workplace.  Elections are overseen by the National Labor Relations Board, which has numerous procedures in place to ensure fair, fraud-free elections.  Because of NLRB safeguards, employees can cast their vote confidentially, without peer pressure or coercion from unions or employers.  The rub is that there can be delays of as much as six months from the time employees sign cards asking for an election until the actual election is held.  However, most election do occur within 100 days.

 

Both unions and companies claim that there is harassment by the opposing sides during the period from card signing until elections occur.  Pressure from employers during that campaign period does have an effect on unionization efforts.  I can confirm that fact from personal experience.

 

The failure of unions to organize in so many companies is the result of business recognizing its responsibility to pay workers decent wages and benefits.  A good example is foreign car manufacturers in the United States.  They are not unionized but do provide their employees with reasonable pay and benefits.

 

If Congress passes the Employee Free Choice Act, employees lose their right to secret ballot elections. The bill would establish a so-called “card-check” union organizing system, in which a majority of employees simply sign a card in favor of union representation.  The flaw in this proposal is it will increase the likelihood of coercion, intimidation, and pressure to sign those cards.  The passing of this law will be payoff by the Obama administration to the unions that were vigorous supporters of Barack Obama’s presidential campaign.  This will unfairly force unionization where it may not be wanted.

March 10, 2009

CONSEQUENCES

Filed under: Business, On Language — coastcontact @ 8:13 pm

I just read a column by Thomas Sowell about the consequences of one’s actions.  It is amazing how fast people learn when they are not insulated from the consequences of their decisions.”  Mr. Sowell’s comment reminded me of a boss who frequently commented on the consequences of the decisions we make in life.  Also the decisions you made for the company that were not in its best interest.   

 

There is a consequence to everything we do.  You go shopping and the consequence is you have to pay the clerk for our purchase.  If you are going to school and you fail to study, there is the possibility you will not receive a passing grade.  When you buy a car with a down payment and fail to make the monthly payments it is likely that the car will be repossessed.

 

Thousands of Americans bought homes they could not afford.  They managed to do this because the banks granted the loans without considering the borrower’s ability to repay the mortgages.  Talk about consequences.  Everyone is now suffering from those bad decisions.  People are losing their homes and banks are holding thousands of mortgages that will never be repaid by the borrowers.

 

President Barack Obama campaigned on a platform of change and now he is implementing the changes he promised.  Many people are upset, especially Republicans, about the things the president proposes to do.  A majority voted for him so now that majority must live with the consequence of that election.  A majority also elected George W. Bush president and we had to live with the consequence of that vote.

 

The decision to repeal the Glass Steagall Act is now being debated as the root cause of the current recession.  I believe that the repeal resulted in the unintended consequences that have brought the world to the brink of depression.

 

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